Local Government Guide to Population Estimation and Projection Techniques: A Guide to Data Sources and Methodologies for Forecasting Population Growth

Summary of Major Steps in Scenario Building
Summary of Major Steps in Scenario Building
Walton County Population Growth, 1940-2000
Walton County Population Growth, 1940-2000
Visualizing Franklin County's Population Growth Scenario, 2000-2003
Visualizing Franklin County's Population Growth Scenario, 2000-2003

Project Year: 2007

Prepared by: 

  • Timothy S. ChapinAssociate Professor, Department Chair, Department of Urban & Regional Planning, Florida State University
  • Carlos Diaz-VenegasApplied Demography Program, Center for Demography and Population Health, Florida State University

Prepared for: Florida Department of Community Affairs, Division of Community Planning


Project Summary:

This guide is intended to provide an overview of the population estimation and projection process. The document describes where data on population and development trends can be acquired, details the methodology behind the state’s official population projections, and summarizes alternative methodologies that can be used by local planning agencies to estimate and project resident populations. The guide is aimed at a professional planning audience, with a primary goal of acquainting planners with several simple means of forecasting population figures when trained specialists are not available for such a project.


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